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Technical Debt8 min read

The Technical Insolvency Date: When Maintenance Exceeds 100% of Capacity

Most companies don't know their insolvency date. 40% are within 18 months of it.

By Richard Ewing·

What Is Technical Insolvency?

The day when maintenance load exceeds 100% of engineering capacity. At that point, you literally cannot ship new features without taking on more debt.

Signs you're approaching insolvency: maintenance ratio increasing quarter-over-quarter, feature velocity declining despite growing team, bug count growing faster than resolution rate, key engineers leaving due to frustration.

How to Calculate Your Date

Plot your maintenance ratio trend line. Extrapolate to 100%. That intersection is your insolvency date. Most companies we assess are within 18 months.


Calculate your PDI →

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Published Work

This article expands on ideas from my published work in CIO.com, Built In, Mind the Product, and HackerNoon. View published articles →

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Richard Ewing

The Product Economist — Quantifying engineering economics for technology leaders, PE firms, and boards.